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Latest Weather Advisory


METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES, MBIA

TIME/DATE: Friday, September 28, 2018 (5:00 AM)

FOR TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN, CARIBBEAN SEA AND GULF OF MEXICO
AREA OF SPECIAL INTEREST: 10 – 20 °N AND 45 – 65 °W

At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kirk was located near latitude 13.2 North, longitude 62.5 West. Kirk is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue during the next day or two. On the forecast track, Kirk’s center, or its remnants, will move across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea over the next 2 or 3 days. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Kirk is forecast to weaken to a tropical depression later today or Saturday, and then degenerate into a trough of low pressure. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)to the north and east of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND———————-WIND…………………….: Tropical storm conditions are still occurring over portions of the warning area and should continue to spread across the remainder of the warning area today. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area during the next several hours. Locally higher winds are likely atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains.

RAINFALL: Kirk is expected to produce total rainfall of 4 to 6 inches across the northern Windward and southern Leeward Islands with isolated maximum totals up to 10 inches across Martinique and Dominica.

These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Across Saint Croix and eastern Puerto Rico, Kirk is expected to bring 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum totals of 6inches today and Saturday.

The meteorological office continues to monitor the system as it moves into the Caribbean Sea. The is a great possibility of moderate to heavy rainfall, with the chance of flooding and landslide mainly during the morning but late afternoon improvement are also expected.

Marine and high surf advisory is in effect.

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